Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.995972 3.545610 4.195931 5.029984 6.082647 7.382483 9.133285e+00
2024-10-20 2.251534 2.937932 3.859873 5.222427 7.245325 10.241928 1.523137e+01
2024-10-27 1.812122 2.503119 3.504185 5.120684 7.790810 12.280878 2.104367e+01
2024-11-03 1.640484 2.381989 3.531156 5.544586 9.228260 16.264084 3.253874e+01
2024-11-10 1.465577 2.212027 3.431907 5.715291 10.266789 19.987142 4.633717e+01
2024-11-17 1.347274 2.105595 3.406300 5.996095 11.603035 24.998650 6.802303e+01
2024-11-24 1.206341 1.935717 3.233921 5.946497 12.222041 28.684624 9.012841e+01
2024-12-01 1.107396 1.822324 3.141053 6.030324 13.176496 33.843548 1.249312e+02
2024-12-08 1.018776 1.713933 3.037276 6.062911 14.020929 39.277520 1.710441e+02
2024-12-15 0.966732 1.665453 3.041847 6.340240 15.639646 48.550120 2.608306e+02
2024-12-22 0.884995 1.549365 2.888997 6.205616 16.027955 53.679302 3.406451e+02
2024-12-29 0.825348 1.469339 2.800013 6.210315 16.861723 61.492753 4.765224e+02
2025-01-05 0.748097 1.355125 2.641828 6.062207 17.376064 69.738650 6.891486e+02
2025-01-12 0.703195 1.303699 2.621104 6.303015 19.504998 90.219728 1.333605e+03
2025-01-19 0.642482 1.210078 2.484965 6.174489 20.187858 103.915492 2.167071e+03
2025-01-26 0.624930 1.206466 2.562176 6.711731 24.045400 149.356730 6.382142e+03
2025-02-02 0.592591 1.165432 2.538996 6.928814 26.707527 194.765419 1.802698e+04
2025-02-09 0.569240 1.141453 2.554911 7.286785 30.467119 268.705116 8.514147e+04
2025-02-16 0.531660 1.079592 2.459576 7.223479 31.924986 323.070202 3.657323e+05
2025-02-23 0.504097 1.038224 2.413312 7.330494 34.583464 415.187404 6.792915e+06
2025-03-02 0.476986 0.994785 2.354174 7.372121 36.948011 524.655640 9.020766e+14
2025-03-09 0.461693 0.978568 2.370371 7.726954 42.029902 761.539255 NaN
2025-03-16 0.432772 0.925046 2.268392 7.554580 42.971258 897.438208 NaN